TweetPulse — Elon Market Sidebar 作者： Bobi

TweetPulse adds a live analytics sidebar to Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet-count markets.

WHAT YOU SEE
• Live tweet count and time remaining
• A projected final count — not a naive run-rate
• Rolling daily average
• CPBS — the bracket the model projects the final count lands in, highlighted
• Every bracket with the three numbers that actually matter:
TPD — tweets per day needed to reach it
TTR — tweets to reach it
TTK — tweets until it dies
• The bracket the count is sitting in right now, and how much headroom is left
• Markets that have not opened yet, with a countdown to the open
• Links to the other live Elon markets

WHY THE PROJECTION IS DIFFERENT
Most tools extrapolate the current pace: if he has tweeted 40 times in one day,
they project 280 for the week. Early bursts make that wildly wrong — measured
against completed markets, a naive run-rate is worse than using no in-market data
at all for roughly the first third of a market.

TweetPulse blends the in-market pace with his longer-run rate, weighting the live
pace more heavily as the window closes. On historical markets that cut projection
error by roughly a third in the early days.

HINTS, NOT ADVICE
Brackets the model considers very unlikely are marked CS (consider selling).
In the final hours, brackets the model is confident in AND that are trading below
that confidence are marked CB (consider buying).

CPBS is a projection, not a prediction — it moves as he posts, and it is least
reliable early in a market. CS and CB are model estimates. None of it is
financial advice, and none of it has been validated against market outcomes.
Trade at your own risk.

PRIVACY
Read-only. It reads the market identifier from the page URL and nothing else.
No wallet access, no positions, no accounts, no tracking, no analytics, no
cookies. One request to elontweetpulse.com for the market data. That's all.

Full dashboard: https://elontweetpulse.com